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Who is Nate Pile?

How Nate became an expert stock and option picker

Nate PileNate Pile is a top-performing editor of a stock and options newsletter called Nate's Notes. Mr. Pile's stock recommendations are independently tracked and rated for actual profitability by The Hulbert Financial Digest - the de facto standard for gauging the real performance records of more than 160 financial newsletters. According to Hulbert rankings, Nate's Notes has consistently appeared in the Top 5 for real returns for the last five years, held the #1 ranking for the 12-month period ending August 31, 2005, and was ranked #3 overall for calendar 2005. If an investor wants to maximize their chances of making strong (but realistic) returns following an unbiased analyst who always thinks for himself rather than following the herd on Wall Street, the ultimate independent evidence says Nate's Notes is a great way to go.

History of Pile's Market Genius

Throughout his childhood, Mr. Pile was always intrigued by mentally challenging games. Though finding correct solutions to individual puzzles was his initial objective, Mr. Pile began to realize over time that rather than needing "a million different strategies for a million different puzzles," all one really needed to do was recognize what sort of puzzle they were up against and then draw on their past experiences to choose the appropriate strategy (or strategies) for that type of problem.

For example, while in high school, Mr. Pile set the lofty goal for himself of "acing" the math portion of at least one of the two college entrance exams he would be taking in his junior year. The SAT was first on the list, and after leaving the testing center feeling 100% certain he had answered all but two of the questions correctly - but only 99% certain about those other two - he was both pleased and disappointed when he learned he had scored 780, a mere 20 points shy of a perfect 800. Clearly, he must have gotten at least one of those two problems wrong after all.

Mr. Pile was aware of the fact that on tests like the SAT and Achievement Test, incorrect answers count as a fractional penalty against the test taker's score, whereas unanswered questions are given no points. Though he found the Achievement Test to be slightly more challenging than the SAT, Mr. Pile realized during the course of the test that he was 100% certain about the correctness of all but one of his answers this time around. After much deliberation, Mr. Pile made a decision to leave the question blank in order to avoid the risk of a penalty (even though it was not clear whether an "incomplete" test could be considered worthy of a "perfect score" in the eyes of the testing service). While Mr. Pile was ecstatic about the 800 printed on his test results when they arrived, he was just as proud of the fact that he had achieved that score by taking the time to understand the rules of the game and then incorporating that knowledge into his overall strategy.

Though it started out solving simple logic puzzles in grade school, his mathematical mind would ultimately play a major role in developing breakthrough strategies for outperforming one of the most complex games the world has ever known - the stock market. In hindsight, Mr. Pile now recognizes his experiences on those college entrance exams as one of his first bona fide encounters with the concept of "risk management," as well as an early lesson on the importance of understanding subtle nuances in the rules of a game in order to gain a competitive advantage over others who may not have taken as much time to fully prepare themselves for success.

Test Perfection to the Markets: How Nate Initially Entered "the Biggest Game"

Way back in 1988, when he was a sophomore who had recently left the Electrical Engineering / Computer Science program at U.C. Berkeley to become "undeclared," Mr. Pile's roommate started getting phone calls every morning at 6:30 am. Though the early morning wake up calls were annoying at first, Mr. Pile become more intrigued when he learned it was actually an opening bell call from a day-trading pro who hailed from Mr. Pile's hometown of Healdsburg, California! His college roommate was heeding the telephone advice to actively trade the markets every day, and Mr. Pile wanted to know more!

Mr. Pile had always loved puzzles, and mathematical puzzles really tickled a personal passion. As he began to follow his roommate's stocks in the paper, Mr. Pile soon realized he was perhaps looking at one of the biggest puzzles he had ever seen… and he was soon passionately learning all he could about the stock market! At that time (and carrying though to today), it was more about being right than getting rich. For Nate, the real fun harkened back to "fixing" that 780 on the SAT - how could he examine the many variables and ever-evolving rules of the stock market game to formulate strategies that would feed his relentless quest for perfection?

First experiences with an investment newsletter

During his last three years at Berkeley, Mr. Pile earned his degree in Mathematics while working 20-30 hours per week with legendary investor and newsletter publisher Jim McCamant (Founder and still Editor-at-large of The Medical Technology Stock Letter). Mr. Pile was given increasing levels of responsibility in the office as time went by, and when he finished his degree at Cal, he was named Associate Editor of a now defunct sister publication of MTSL called The AgBiotech Stock Letter.

The in-depth, nitty-gritty experience of providing individual investors with unbiased, conflict-of-interest-free advice aimed at outperforming the markets while working with McCamant struck a solid chord within Pile. In a climactic moment, what had previously been diverse interests suddenly converged. His mathematics mastery… his passion for one of the greatest puzzles ever created by man… his evolving knowledge of the fine detail variables that distinguish top-performing stock pickers from their less successful peers… all found a calling. The outlet could be monetized and, as a result, it offered him the potential to let this passion become a full-time pursuit.

Says Nate, "I can't tell you how excited I was when I finally realized that this game into which I continued to dive deeper and deeper - and in which I was beginning to make key realizations that still serve my subscribers even today - could actually become a career option."

The Creation of Nate's Notes

Shortly after leaving McCamant's operation to spread his wings with a small boutique investment banking firm in San Francisco, Mr. Pile began to formulate plans to start his own newsletter… and Nate's Notes was born in February 1995. Nate was determined to pour every nuance of his background into the project, with the goal of producing a newsletter that would be easy to follow and yield above-average results for its readers. However, instead of hyping his performance like most of the others in the space, he wanted to let his bona-fide results speak for themselves over time. After all, at the end of the day, what subscribers really want is profitable growth that outperforms the generic act of simply parking money in an index fund.

Given his long-term approach to investing, a subscriber almost certainly will not be able to make 10,000% in four weeks following Nate's advice. However, independently-tracked past performance does prove that it is possible to significantly outperform the index funds when following the portfolios contained in Nate's Notes. If you would like to risk your investment dollars by following the advice of someone promoting ridiculous returns over short periods of time, more power to you. On the other hand, if you would like to put your dollars to work following someone with a proven history of actual performance, give Nate's Notes a try!

Today, Nate's Notes is continuing to build its track record around the remarkable philosophy and approach to investing developed (and continually refined) by Nate Pile. However, in spite of sometimes holding the #1 ranking by Hulbert, do you think Nate is satisfied? Absolutely not! Remember - 780 on the SAT wasn't good enough because there was a way to make it better… and if you are Nate Pile, you are relentlessly pursuing perfection.

stock market and investment information Why do Hulbert Rankings matter?

The financial newsletter publishing industry is full of hype-loaded marketing pieces touting ridiculous performance numbers.  Prospective subscribers often see pieces promoting 1,000%, 5,000%, 10,000% (and even greater!) returns over a period of just a few months.  Do you really think that if that source could actually deliver those kinds of returns on a regular basis they would be selling their stock picks for only a couple of hundred dollars each year?

Extraordinary claims rarely stand up to close scrutiny when independently checked by someone like Mark Hulbert.  Instead, sensational claims of profitability often transform into actual losses when someone digs in and evaluates performance with real dollars.  Check the Hulbert rankings on Mr. Pile to see what honest-to-goodness outperformance from an investment newsletter is really like.

Some unscrupulous letter publishers lay claim to have high Hulbert rankings too; but if you really look into them, you are likely to find that their “strong” Hulbert ratings might have been for as little as a single month, long, long ago.  Just as not every paperback is actually a New York Times #1 bestseller, not every newsletter “guru” is a bona-fide, top-performing stock picker.

Mr. Pile is definitely one of the exceptions.  Verify his real performance by researching it though the Hulbert rankings.  If you are going to put your investment dollars at risk, you can fall prey to slick marketing that promises multi-thousand percent returns that are never substantiated by ANY independent source… or, you can go with a proven performer whose results have been independently verified as consistently being among the cream of the crop. They are your hard-earned investment dollars – invest them wisely! Subscribe to Nate’s Notes today! stock market and investment information Nate's Accomplishments

  • frequent contributor to Forbes.com, Marketwatch.com, and The Dick Davis Digest
  • ranked #3 by Hulbert for 2005, currently ranked #3 for prior 5-year period as well
  • recognized in Feb '06 Barron's article
  • has been following the stock market for 18 years
  • publishing Nate's Notes for almost twelve years
  • started in the Electrical Engineering/Computer Science (EECS) program at UC Berkeley, finished with a degree in Mathematics
  • worked as an analyst in the corporate finance division of an investment banking firm in San Francisco
  • earned license to become a Registered Investment Advisor in California in 2001
  • serves as the advisor to Elensius Capital, LP
  • earned California Teaching Credential and started teaching mathematics in 1997, including 2 years at the prestigious Sonoma Country Day School
stock market and investment information When he is not living and breathing the stock market, Nate has a variety of other interesting hobbies that fill up his time.  He is an avid jogger and plays disc golf on a regular basis.  Corals are his latest fascination, and he is passionate about the four saltwater reef tanks he maintains in his home.  In addition, he also enjoys gardening, astronomy, and home wine making.  He also occasionally finds time to play his clarinet and banjo (though never simultaneously!), and he is one of just a handful of people who have ever achieved the rank of Full Mystic in the massive multiplayer online game Clan Lord.

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